Sunday, November 23, 2008

Week 12 BCS Rankings

You, my friends, get the rankings that you want and deserve. I'll post them and give some feedback.

For those of you not familiar with my rankings, I have two formulae and the BCS results side by side for comparison. Last year, I liked the way RC2 ended versus the BCS rather than RC1. Maybe next year I won't even fiddle with RC1.

Here is a link to the expanded BCS Standings.

Anyhow, without further ado...

RC1 RC2 BCS
1 Oklahoma 10-1 0.9313 1 Texas 0.9518 1 Alabama 0.9872
2 Texas 10-1 0.9302 2 Alabama 0.9431 2 Texas 0.9209
3 Florida 10- 1 0.9262 3 Oklahoma 0.9322 3 Oklahoma 0.9125
4 Alabama 11- 0 0.9239 4 Florida 0.9274 4 Florida 0.8755
5 Texas Tech 10-1 0.9149 5 Utah 0.9141 5 USC 0.7974
6 Utah 12-0 0.9118 6 Georgia 0.8989 6 Utah 0.7858
7 Georgia 9-2 0.8984 7 Texas Tech 0.8973 7 Texas Tech 0.7789
8 Penn State 11- 1 0.8818 8 Penn State 0.8840 8 Penn State 0.7520
9 Boise State 11- 0 0.8799 9 Boise State 0.8810 9 Boise State 0.6581
10 Okla. State 9- 2 0.8758 10 Okla. State 0.8771 10 Ohio State 0.6210
11 Ohio State 10-2 0.8741 11 Ohio State 0.8749 11 Georgia 0.6020
12 Missouri 9-2 0.8605 12 Missouri 0.8625 12 Okla. State 0.5705
13 Cincinnati 9-2 0.8563 13 Cincinnati 0.8595 13 Missouri 0.5589
14 Ball State 11- 0 0.8493 14 USC 0.8526 14 TCU 0.4702
15 FSU 8- 3 0.8453 15 Ball State 0.8511 15 Ball State 0.4379
16 TCU 10- 2 0.8437 16 TCU 0.8453 16 Cincinnati 0.3971
17 USC 9- 1 0.8351 17 Pittsburgh 0.8370 17 Oregon St. 0.3131
18 GT 8- 3 0.8310 18 Mich. State 0.8335 18 BYU 0.2625
19 BC 8-3 0.8163 19 FSU 0.8240 19 Mich. State 0.2218
20 Pittsburgh 7-3 0.8158 20 BC 0.8177 20 FSU 0.1882
21 BYU 10-2 0.8137 21 BYU 0.8166 21 BC 0.1862
22 Mich. State 9-3 0.8136 22 GT 0.8114 22 GT 0.1812
23 WVU 7- 3 0.8011 23 WVU 0.8027 23 Oregon 0.1551
24 UCONN 7- 3 0.7978 24 Nebraska 0.8027 24 Northwestern 0.1130
25 WMU 9-2 0.7848 25 UCONN 0.7996 25 Pitt 0.0413

I've tried several ways to fiddle with this, but for some reason the formatting simply won't work. Sorry it's such a jumble.

Some thoughts:
1. My formulae have never been friendly to USC. It's the overall weakness of their conference, couple with the fact they've played two fewer games than most of the top teams. From a non-formulaic standpoint, their offense just isn't putting up the points it needs to. They'd get destroyed by a Big XII or SEC team.
2. Other than USC being lower and Georgia being higher, everything jells fairly well with the BCS rankings until you get to the very bottom. Note that Georgia's average computer ranking is 9 and they're not too far away from being #7.
3. In addition to USC, Alabama is being held back by its opponents. The only two teams with a tougher schedule than Texas are Arkansas and Utah State.

1 comment:

Chris said...

I'm not posting mine this year, but just for fun, I've got Florida, Texas, Alabama and Oklahoma in that order. Florida is ahead by a significant amount, Texas and Alabama are basically even and Oklahoma is way behind.